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  • Week Ahead

    Solid earnings and calmer waters in the rough seas of trade propel a massive rebound for Equities, with the Nasdaq returning once again to lead the pack. The 1Q25 earnings season…

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  • Week Ahead

    The Via Dollarosa illustrates the plight of the USD; loss of trust in the new US Administration drives flows out of the country and into Europe and Japan. Pressure on Fed…

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  • Week Ahead

    World order upended; US to reach new commercial agreements with 150+ countries. Treasuries and USD crash. Fed to cut three times in 2025, starting in June; ECB will cut this week.…

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  • Week Ahead

    Outlook clouded by US tariffs; equities manage to stop the slide (for now); USD up slightly. Fed to cut twice in 2025; ECB April call 50/50. Important updates this week: US…

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  • Week Ahead

    Better than expected US CPI and PPI can’t stop the slide, continuing for the 4th week in a row. The next week will see four of the most important central banks…

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  • Week Ahead

    Recession fears continue to drive the correction; Magnificent 7 under pressure. Downgrading equities to hold; still long on US bonds, while waiting for better opportunities on European bonds given the massive…

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  • US Equities cheer the Thanksgiving week with the Dow making another all-time record. Bonds turn higher, thanks to lower yields, both in the US and Europe. This Friday's November labour report will shed light on a possible 25bp cut by the Fed in December, which seems likely once again. More easing will be needed in Europe, while the US will continue to enjoy a strong economy....

    https://inflectionpoint.blog/2024/12/week-ahead-87/

  • Nvidia's good earnings lifts US Equities, with the Dow making an all-time record. David Kostin hikes his target for end 2025 to 6,500 for the S&P 500. Stable bonds in the US, while gaining some ground in Europe. Powerful USD versus EUR, now trading below 1.05. More easing will likely be needed in Europe, while the US will continue to enjoy a strong economy....

    https://inflectionpoint.blog/2024/11/week-ahead-86/

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  • Retracement in equities after setting the record for the S&P 500 over 6,000 points; bonds continue to be weak. Very strong USD versus EUR, now trading below 1.06. More easing will likely be needed in Europe, while the US will continue to enjoy a strong economy. Nvidia's earnings on 3Q24 can further boost the S&P 500's earnings, as it is its largest contributor....

    https://inflectionpoint.blog/2024/11/week-ahead-85/

  • This post will share our thoughts on how to piece together resilient fixed-income portfolios. What do we at InflectionPoint view as resilient portfolios? They are diversified and robust investments designed to Withstand a range of market outcomes. Bend without breaking Mitigate the impact of possible fat tail risks To keep things simple, we'll primarily use Funds. This makes it easy for any investor to implement our strategy effectively....

    https://inflectionpoint.blog/2024/11/year-ahead-2025-part-i-crafting-resilient-fixed-income-portfolios/

  • US equities salute the election of Donald Trump as the US's 47th President with new all-time records for all three indices; Japan was strong, while Europe slumped. BOE and Fed cut by 25bp as forecasted, but hurdles abound for both in their easing process. Pay attention to US CPI on Tuesday - now more important than ever as Trump's presidency is deemed inflationary, and to EU and JP GDP, and US PPI, on Thursday....

    https://inflectionpoint.blog/2024/11/week-ahead-84/

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